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Track record
A permanent log, not a highlight reel. Every Edge Analysts prediction goes live before kick-off and is never altered, removed or rewritten, whether it's right or wrong.
Updated 28 Oct 2026, 16:49 GMT
Live now
Every figure on this tab is calculated from the full prediction log and updates automatically as results come in, so the latest games are always included. Last updated 28 Oct 2026, 16:49 GMT. The comparison against the market uses a weekly snapshot, currently covering 1 Aug to 3 Oct 2026.
in Europe's top divisions
252 of 495 top-division picks correct. Across all 23 competitions: 682 of 1421 (48%)
511 of 1932 fixtures played this season have no pick because they were added after that round's freeze window. We never add picks late
Weekly hit rate
Weeks with fewer than 20 picks are left off the chart: w/c 27 Jul (1 of 1), w/c 21 Sep (6 of 18)
The average hides a pattern
Top divisions
51%252 of 495 correct. About 1 in 2 top-flight picks called correctlyCups
57%108 of 188 correct. Cup ties often pair mismatched sides, so expect this to run higherSecond tier and below
42%286 of 673 correct. Tighter, more evenly matched leagues, where results are harder to callWomen's Super League
57%12 of 21 correct. New for this season. Early sample, so read it as indicativeNations League
55%24 of 44 correct. New model, early data. Treat as indicativeThe more confident EdgeIQ is, the more often it's right
When EdgeIQ rated a result 60% and up likely, it happened 70% of the time. Even then, a pick can lose, so read these as probabilities, not tips
Draws, priced realistically
26% predicted, 25% actualEdgeIQ's average draw probability compared against the share of matches that actually ended level, across 1421 matches
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Every competition, ranked
Latest 20 picks
How the track record works
How we settle predictions
League fixtures such as the Premier League and Championship settle on the 90-minute result, so a draw after 90 minutes is a draw. Cup fixtures such as the FA Cup, League Cup and Community Shield settle on the final outcome, including penalty shootouts where applicable, with the winner advancing.
What does Edge Analysts publish, and when?
Edge Analysts publishes an EdgeIQ model output and an edge percentage for every fixture, before kick-off. Every single one goes into the audit log. Nothing is added afterward. Nothing is removed. The record is immutable, auditable and timestamped. What you get is an unbiased, data-led read on every match, checkable against the record and against live market odds.
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