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Track record
A permanent log, not a highlight reel. Every Edge Analysts prediction goes live before kick-off and is never altered, removed or rewritten, whether it's right or wrong.
Updated 28 Oct 2026, 17:48 GMT
Live now
Edge Analysts created the EdgeIQ model and have already tested it at the highest level. Every prediction below was frozen ahead of kick-off across all 104 World Cup matches. Here's exactly how it played out, round by round.
72/104
Overall accuracy · all matches predicted pre-kick-off
Called Spain to lift the trophy from day one. Backed by ELO ratings, recent form and head-to-head history. No hindsight required.
Group Stage
46/72 correct
Round of 32
13/16 correct
Round of 16
7/8 correct
Quarter-Final
4/4 correct
Semi-Final & 3rd Place
1/3 correct
Final
1/1 correct
Quarter-final and Final: 100%. Every match called correctly at the tournament's business end. Predictions frozen before kick-off and still visible.
How the track record works
How we settle predictions
League fixtures such as the Premier League and Championship settle on the 90-minute result, so a draw after 90 minutes is a draw. Cup fixtures such as the FA Cup, League Cup and Community Shield settle on the final outcome, including penalty shootouts where applicable, with the winner advancing.
What does Edge Analysts publish, and when?
Edge Analysts publishes an EdgeIQ model output and an edge percentage for every fixture, before kick-off. Every single one goes into the audit log. Nothing is added afterward. Nothing is removed. The record is immutable, auditable and timestamped. What you get is an unbiased, data-led read on every match, checkable against the record and against live market odds.
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